Saturday, April 05, 2014

Dick Morris's 2014 Senate Scoreboard

by JASmius

Maybe Barack Obama's ObamaCare enrollment April Fool's joke will have an impact, maybe it won't.  But right now, the GOP's prospects are looking better and better:

Republicans lead in seven Michigan

Land (R) 40
Peters (D) 38

(Open seat; Carl Levin retired; amazing run for a Republican in deeply blue state)

North Carolina

Tillis (R) 46*
Hagan (D) 45

(Tillis leads in tough primary; Hagan well under 50% of the vote)

Alaska

Treadwell (R) 47*
Begich (D) 43

(Treadwell faces tough primary but Begish is way behind and further under 50%)

Montana


Daines (R) 51
Walsh (D) 37

(Open seat; it's over)

Louisiana


Cassidy (R) 46
Landrieu (D) 42

(Landrieu way under 50%)

South Dakota

Rounds (R) 51
Weiland (D) 31

(Open seat; it's over)

West Virginia

Capito (R) 49
Tennant (D) 35

(Open seat; it's over)

Republican tied in one

Arkansas

Cotton (R) 46
Pryor (D) 46

(Pryor is under 50%)

Republican close in three

Iowa

Jacobs (R) 38*
Braley (D) 41

(Open seat; Jacobs still faces tough primary, but possible pickup)

Colorado

Gardner (R) 40
Udall (D) 42

(Udall way under 50%)

Minnesota

Ortman (R) 41*
Franken (D) 44

(Franken way under 50%)

That's a GOP pickup of seven seats; I'd include Arkansas in that category because Mark Pryor is a dead man walking in a state that "red," and I don't think Mitch McConnell is in any real trouble, or he wouldn't have gotten re-elected in the disastrous 2008 cycle.  So that'd be an eight seat pickup with the possibility of three more.  Sweet - but there's a loooooooong way to go.

Exit question: Would a 56-44 Republican Senate and 250+ Republicans in the House change the despotic, Obamacentric power realities in D.C.?

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